A new Bayesian ridge estimator for logistic regression in the presence of multicollinearity

Folashade Adeola Bolarinwa 1, *, Olusola Samuel Makinde 2 and Olusoga Akin Fasoranbaku 2

1 Department of Statistics, Federal Polytechnic, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria.
2 Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria.
 
Research Article
World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 2023, 20(03), 458–465
Article DOI: 10.30574/wjarr.2023.20.3.2415
 
Publication history: 
Received on 19 October 2023; revised on 01 December 2023; accepted on 04 December 2023
 
Abstract: 
This research introduces the Bayesian schemes for estimating logistic regression parameters in the presence of multicollinearity. The Bayesian schemes involve the introduction of a prior together with the likelihood which resulted in the posterior distribution that is not tractable, hence the use of a numerical method i.e Gibbs sampler. Different levels of multicollinearity were chosen to be 0.800.850.900.950.99and 0.999to accommodate severe, very severe and nearly perfect state of multicollinearity with sample sizes taken as 10,20,30,50,100,200,300 and 500.Different ridge parameters k were introduced to remedy the effect of multicollinearity .The explanatory variables used were 3 and 7. Model estimation was carried out using Bayesian approach via the Gibbs sampler of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation. The means square error MSE of Bayesian logistic regression estimation was compared with the frequentist methods of the estimation. The result shows a minimum mean square error with the Bayesian scheme compared to the frequentist method.
 
Keywords: 
Bayesian; Logistic Regression; Multicollinearity; Mean Square Error
 
Full text article in PDF: 
Share this